MIAMI – There’s a high chance that a tropical wave currently located over the western Caribbean Sea will develop into a storm early next week.
In fact, the National Hurricane Centre (NHC) in Miami says there’s a 90 percent probability of it happening within the next five days. There’s still a chance – 60 percent – that it will form within the next two days.
“The broad area of low pressure located over the northwestern Caribbean Sea continues to produce a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Gradual development of the system is expected while it moves slowly northwestward across the Yucatan Peninsula later today and over the southern or central Gulf of Mexico tomorrow and Tuesday, where a tropical or subtropical cyclone is likely to form,” the NHC said.
Regardless of development, heavy rains are expected over portions of Jamaica, the Cayman Islands, western Cuba, Central America and the Yucatan Peninsula during the next several days.
A hurricane hunter aircraft may investigate the system later.
There’s also another tropical wave out in the Atlantic that forecasters are keeping their eye on.
Showers and thunderstorms continue to show signs of organization in association with that tropical wave, located about 1,000 miles east-southeast of the southern Windward Islands. Some development of that system is possible during the next couple of days before environmental conditions become less favorable for tropical cyclone formation.
This system is forecast to move to the west-northwest at near 20 mph toward the Windward Islands and northeastern South America during the next two days. A hurricane hunter is scheduled to investigate this system on Monday, if it becomes necessary.